New Haven
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 70.0857Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 10- 7 227 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 15-21 301 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 7-15 304 A Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 8-18 307 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 6-16 314 H Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 14-11 321 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 9-14 325 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 8-11 328 H LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 9-11 404 H Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 11-12 408 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 11- 9 411 A Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 7-21 418 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 17-11 425 A Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 19- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H Sacred Heart 10- 7 3 -3 +++ 6.32
227 A Wofford 15-21 -6 -8 1.59
301 A Presbyterian 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.94
304 A Merrimack 8-18 -10 -6 -- -4.38
307 A Quinnipiac 6-16 -10 -12 1.84
314 H Mercyhurst 14-11 3 4 -1.28
321 A Wagner 9-14 -5 -5 0.23
325 A Fairleigh Dickinson 8-11 -3 -4 0.68
328 H LIU 9-11 -2 -3 1.47
404 H Le Moyne 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.59
408 H Howard (DC) 11- 9 2 4 -1.69
411 A Stonehill 7-21 -14 -10 -- -4.21
418 H Central Connecticut 17-11 6 8 - -2.23
425 A Delaware State 19- 7 12 9 + 3.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Presbyterian 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.94 304 A Merrimack 8-18 -10 -6 -- -4.38 411 A Stonehill 7-21 -14 -10 -- -4.21 418 H Central Connecticut 17-11 6 8 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Sacred Heart 10- 7 3 -3 +++ 6.32 404 H Le Moyne 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.59 425 A Delaware State 19- 7 12 9 + 3.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 10- 7 -25.13 15.04 -1.37 1.24 33.83
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 15-21 -23.60 16.57 1.37 1.24 -13.75
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 7-15 -29.12 11.05 1.37 1.24 -17.17
3 A Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 8-18 -25.56 14.60 1.37 1.24 -14.97
3 A Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 6-16 -19.34 20.83 1.37 1.24 -11.12
3 H Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 14-11 -32.73 7.44 -1.37 1.24 15.03
3 A Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 9-14 -25.95 14.22 1.37 1.24 -15.21
3 A Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 8-11 -27.50 12.67 1.37 1.24 -16.17
3 H LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 9-11 -24.98 15.19 -1.37 1.24 -16.30
3 H Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 11-12 -22.86 17.31 -1.37 1.24 -14.99
3 H Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 11- 9 -32.13 8.03 -1.37 1.24 16.49
3 A Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 7-21 -21.40 18.77 1.37 1.24 -12.39
3 H Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 17-11 -36.68 3.49 -1.37 1.24 5.25
3 A Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 19- 7 -40.17 1.00 1.37 1.24 5.86
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-55.60
|
winning pts = 76.4599 losing points = -132.0635
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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